Loventy
Probability Methodology

How Loventy structures neutral probability studies.

Every study starts with scenario framing, catalyst mapping, contradiction checks, evidence quality scoring, confidence bands and forecast review windows.

Methodology prototype only. No guaranteed accuracy, no guaranteed prediction, no live API activation and no financial advice.

01

Scenario framing

Define bullish, bearish, sideways or volatility scenarios as neutral market studies.

02

Catalyst mapping

Map macro, earnings, policy, commodities, crypto and sector catalysts to affected assets.

03

Contradiction checking

Separate support signals from contradiction signals, missing data and invalidation triggers.

04

Evidence quality scoring

Track source density, freshness, agreement, contradiction load and missing-data warnings.

05

Confidence bands

Show AI confidence as a study label, not a certainty claim or instruction.

06

Forecast windows

Attach review timing so scenario labels do not appear permanent.

07

Volatility sensitivity

Flag leverage, liquidity, concentration and catalyst clustering when pressure can change quickly.

08

Review cycle

Queue stale, contradicted or low-evidence studies for future review before publication depth expands.

09

Future AI/provider routing

Future providers must be backend-only, reviewed and compliant before any production use.

No guaranteed accuracy

Loventy methodology explains structure and review discipline. It does not claim guaranteed accuracy, does not personalize outputs and does not tell users what to buy, sell or hold.