Netherlands · Independent probability study
Eredivisie predictions and probabilities
In our simulation of 10,000 seasons, PSV is the most likely Eredivisie champion (71%), with 77 expected final points. Below is every upcoming match with our win probabilities; the team with the higher chance is always on the left.
Upcoming Eredivisie matches
Saturday 21 November
PSV62%20%NEC ⌂Feyenoord Rotterdam ⌂76%11%SBV ExcelsiorFC Utrecht ⌂42%36%SC Cambuur-LeeuwardenTelstar 1963 ⌂53%25%PEC ZwolleSC Heerenveen43%35%FC Groningen ⌂Sunday 22 November
FC Twente '65 ⌂86%5%Willem II TilburgAZ50%27%Sparta Rotterdam ⌂AFC Ajax ⌂72%12%ADO Den HaagGo Ahead Eagles ⌂44%33%Fortuna SittardHow the Eredivisie will end
| # | Team | Pts | Final pts | Champion | Top places | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | PSV | 26 | 77 | 71% | 90% | — |
| 2 | FC Twente '65 | 24 | 70 | 13% | 45% | — |
| 3 | AFC Ajax | 25 | 68 | 9% | 34% | — |
| 4 | Feyenoord Rotterdam | 25 | 67 | 7% | 26% | — |
| 5 | SC Heerenveen | 21 | 59 | 1% | 3% | — |
| 6 | AZ | 23 | 57 | — | 1% | — |
| 7 | Fortuna Sittard | 20 | 48 | — | — | 1% |
| 8 | FC Groningen | 15 | 47 | — | — | 1% |
| 9 | NEC | 14 | 46 | — | — | 1% |
| 10 | SC Cambuur-Leeuwarden | 15 | 44 | — | — | 3% |
| 11 | Go Ahead Eagles | 17 | 42 | — | — | 4% |
| 12 | FC Utrecht | 12 | 39 | — | — | 12% |
| 13 | Telstar 1963 | 10 | 37 | — | — | 21% |
| 14 | ADO Den Haag | 9 | 34 | — | — | 34% |
| 15 | Sparta Rotterdam | 12 | 34 | — | — | 34% |
| 16 | SBV Excelsior | 11 | 34 | — | — | 39% |
| 17 | PEC Zwolle | 12 | 32 | — | — | 51% |
| 18 | Willem II Tilburg | 3 | 18 | — | — | 99% |
Latest Eredivisie results
- 8 NovFC Utrecht 2 – 3 NEC
- 8 NovAZ 4 – 3 FC Groningen
- 8 NovSC Cambuur-Leeuwarden 2 – 5 PSV
- 8 NovFC Twente '65 2 – 2 AFC Ajax
- 8 NovSC Heerenveen 5 – 3 Feyenoord Rotterdam
- 7 NovSBV Excelsior 0 – 1 Go Ahead Eagles
- 7 NovADO Den Haag 3 – 1 Sparta Rotterdam
- 7 NovFortuna Sittard 2 – 2 Telstar 1963
- 6 NovWillem II Tilburg 1 – 1 PEC Zwolle
- 1 NovFC Groningen 2 – 3 Sparta Rotterdam
- 1 NovTelstar 1963 4 – 2 FC Utrecht
- 1 NovSBV Excelsior 0 – 9 FC Twente '65
Our engine's accuracy in the Eredivisie: 48% correct in 269 matches evaluated before kick-off.