Independent probability studies · updated daily at 06:00 CET

Who wins. With numbers.

LOVENTY Sports studies every match with its own engine (Elo ratings, Poisson goal model with Dixon-Coles correction and 10,000 simulated seasons). The team with the higher chance is always on the left. No ads, no paywalls.

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The clearest favourites of the coming days

Friday 20 November

FC Bayern München ⌂90%3%1. FC Köln

Saturday 21 November

Southampton FC ⌂78%8%Derby County FCWest Ham United FC ⌂78%9%Preston North End FCMiddlesbrough FC ⌂69%12%Bristol City FCSS Lazio ⌂68%12%US LecceAS Roma70%11%Parma Calcio 1913 ⌂Feyenoord Rotterdam ⌂76%11%SBV Excelsior

Sunday 22 November

FC Barcelona ⌂76%9%Villarreal CFReal Madrid CF ⌂74%8%RC Celta de VigoFC Twente '65 ⌂86%5%Willem II TilburgAFC Ajax ⌂72%12%ADO Den HaagParis FC ⌂68%11%Angers SCO

Leagues

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