France · Independent probability study
Ligue 1 predictions and probabilities
In our simulation of 10,000 seasons, Paris Saint-Germain FC is the most likely Ligue 1 champion (88%), with 73 expected final points. Below is every upcoming match with our win probabilities; the team with the higher chance is always on the left.
Upcoming Ligue 1 matches
Friday 20 November
ES Troyes AC ⌂49%23%Le Havre ACSaturday 21 November
Paris Saint-Germain FC56%20%OGC Nice ⌂AS Monaco FC ⌂58%19%AJ AuxerreRacing Club de Lens ⌂56%21%Toulouse FCLille OSC ⌂46%24%Olympique LyonnaisRC Strasbourg Alsace ⌂52%25%Stade Brestois 29Sunday 22 November
Paris FC ⌂68%11%Angers SCOFC Lorient ⌂47%28%Stade Rennais FC 1901Olympique de Marseille ⌂63%17%Le Mans FCHow the Ligue 1 will end
| # | Team | Pts | Final pts | Champion | Top places | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paris Saint-Germain FC | 23 | 73 | 88% | 99% | — |
| 2 | Lille OSC | 18 | 59 | 4% | 48% | — |
| 3 | Paris FC | 20 | 58 | 3% | 43% | — |
| 4 | Olympique de Marseille | 18 | 56 | 2% | 32% | — |
| 5 | Olympique Lyonnais | 17 | 54 | 1% | 20% | — |
| 6 | Racing Club de Lens | 13 | 54 | 1% | 19% | — |
| 7 | AS Monaco FC | 16 | 53 | 1% | 15% | — |
| 8 | Stade Rennais FC 1901 | 13 | 51 | — | 8% | 1% |
| 9 | FC Lorient | 15 | 50 | — | 7% | — |
| 10 | RC Strasbourg Alsace | 10 | 47 | — | 3% | 2% |
| 11 | OGC Nice | 17 | 47 | — | 3% | 1% |
| 12 | Toulouse FC | 13 | 47 | — | 2% | 2% |
| 13 | Stade Brestois 29 | 12 | 44 | — | 1% | 4% |
| 14 | AJ Auxerre | 10 | 37 | — | — | 29% |
| 15 | Le Mans FC | 8 | 35 | — | — | 34% |
| 16 | ES Troyes AC | 8 | 34 | — | — | 46% |
| 17 | Angers SCO | 8 | 28 | — | — | 86% |
| 18 | Le Havre AC | 2 | 23 | — | — | 95% |
Latest Ligue 1 results
- 8 NovRacing Club de Lens 1 – 2 Olympique de Marseille
- 8 NovLe Mans FC 1 – 1 AS Monaco FC
- 8 NovStade Brestois 29 2 – 0 Olympique Lyonnais
- 8 NovLe Havre AC 0 – 2 FC Lorient
- 8 NovAngers SCO 0 – 2 OGC Nice
- 7 NovParis Saint-Germain FC 1 – 0 ES Troyes AC
- 7 NovAJ Auxerre 0 – 1 Paris FC
- 6 NovToulouse FC 3 – 1 RC Strasbourg Alsace
- 1 NovOlympique de Marseille 2 – 0 Toulouse FC
- 1 NovParis FC 3 – 1 AS Monaco FC
- 1 NovRC Strasbourg Alsace 5 – 1 AJ Auxerre
- 31 OctOlympique Lyonnais 2 – 0 Angers SCO
Our engine's accuracy in the Ligue 1: 50% correct in 263 matches evaluated before kick-off.