Italy · Independent probability study
Serie A predictions and probabilities
In our simulation of 10,000 seasons, FC Internazionale Milano is the most likely Serie A champion (61%), with 88 expected final points. Below is every upcoming match with our win probabilities; the team with the higher chance is always on the left.
Upcoming Serie A matches
Saturday 21 November
Como 1907 ⌂66%12%Cagliari CalcioSS Lazio ⌂68%12%US LecceAS Roma70%11%Parma Calcio 1913 ⌂SSC Napoli ⌂58%19%Torino FCSunday 22 November
Genoa CFC38%36%US Sassuolo Calcio ⌂AC Milan ⌂46%30%Frosinone CalcioBologna FC 1909 ⌂56%21%Udinese CalcioFC Internazionale Milano67%15%Atalanta BC ⌂Monday 23 November
AC Monza ⌂41%35%ACF FiorentinaJuventus FC ⌂64%14%Venezia FCHow the Serie A will end
| # | Team | Pts | Final pts | Champion | Top places | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Internazionale Milano | 28 | 88 | 61% | 99% | — |
| 2 | AS Roma | 27 | 84 | 33% | 98% | — |
| 3 | Como 1907 | 23 | 75 | 3% | 77% | — |
| 4 | SS Lazio | 29 | 75 | 3% | 74% | — |
| 5 | AC Milan | 24 | 68 | — | 31% | — |
| 6 | SSC Napoli | 15 | 62 | — | 8% | — |
| 7 | Frosinone Calcio | 20 | 61 | — | 6% | — |
| 8 | Juventus FC | 18 | 61 | — | 6% | — |
| 9 | Bologna FC 1909 | 17 | 56 | — | 1% | — |
| 10 | Atalanta BC | 14 | 48 | — | — | 2% |
| 11 | Cagliari Calcio | 16 | 47 | — | — | 2% |
| 12 | Torino FC | 14 | 46 | — | — | 4% |
| 13 | Genoa CFC | 13 | 44 | — | — | 6% |
| 14 | ACF Fiorentina | 9 | 42 | — | — | 12% |
| 15 | AC Monza | 7 | 36 | — | — | 33% |
| 16 | Parma Calcio 1913 | 8 | 35 | — | — | 40% |
| 17 | US Sassuolo Calcio | 8 | 35 | — | — | 43% |
| 18 | US Lecce | 10 | 35 | — | — | 45% |
| 19 | Udinese Calcio | 5 | 34 | — | — | 50% |
| 20 | Venezia FC | 6 | 32 | — | — | 65% |
Latest Serie A results
- 8 NovACF Fiorentina 2 – 2 Juventus FC
- 8 NovFC Internazionale Milano 2 – 0 Como 1907
- 8 NovGenoa CFC 1 – 2 AC Milan
- 8 NovAC Monza 0 – 1 Atalanta BC
- 8 NovSSC Napoli 1 – 1 SS Lazio
- 7 NovAS Roma 3 – 0 US Sassuolo Calcio
- 7 NovParma Calcio 1913 1 – 2 Bologna FC 1909
- 7 NovTorino FC 1 – 1 US Lecce
- 7 NovCagliari Calcio 1 – 0 Frosinone Calcio
- 6 NovVenezia FC 2 – 1 Udinese Calcio
- 2 NovAtalanta BC 0 – 3 Parma Calcio 1913
- 2 NovUS Sassuolo Calcio 2 – 4 ACF Fiorentina
Our engine's accuracy in the Serie A: 53% correct in 353 matches evaluated before kick-off.