Portugal · Independent probability study
Liga Portugal predictions and probabilities
In our simulation of 10,000 seasons, FC Porto is the most likely Liga Portugal champion (67%), with 83 expected final points. Below is every upcoming match with our win probabilities; the team with the higher chance is always on the left.
No Liga Portugal matches in the coming days.
How the Liga Portugal will end
| # | Team | Pts | Final pts | Champion | Top places | Relegation |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | FC Porto | 33 | 83 | 67% | 95% | — |
| 2 | Sport Lisboa e Benfica | 28 | 78 | 30% | 86% | — |
| 3 | Sporting Clube de Portugal | 24 | 70 | 3% | 18% | — |
| 4 | CD Santa Clara | 21 | 56 | — | — | — |
| 5 | Sporting Clube de Braga | 17 | 55 | — | — | — |
| 6 | FC Arouca | 20 | 54 | — | — | — |
| 7 | Académico de Viseu FC | 20 | 54 | — | — | — |
| 8 | Gil Vicente FC | 15 | 47 | — | — | — |
| 9 | FC Famalicão | 13 | 46 | — | — | — |
| 10 | FC Alverca | 12 | 42 | — | — | 2% |
| 11 | Moreirense FC | 14 | 41 | — | — | 3% |
| 12 | Vitória Guimarães | 9 | 40 | — | — | 4% |
| 13 | CF Estrela da Amadora | 10 | 35 | — | — | 16% |
| 14 | CS Marítimo | 8 | 34 | — | — | 26% |
| 15 | CD Nacional | 10 | 33 | — | — | 29% |
| 16 | Casa Pia AC | 8 | 29 | — | — | 56% |
| 17 | Rio Ave FC | 7 | 26 | — | — | 81% |
| 18 | GD Estoril Praia | 2 | 24 | — | — | 83% |
Latest Liga Portugal results
- 8 NovRio Ave FC 0 – 1 Sporting Clube de Braga
- 8 NovCF Estrela da Amadora 2 – 3 Sport Lisboa e Benfica
- 8 NovVitória Guimarães 1 – 2 FC Porto
- 8 NovCD Santa Clara 1 – 2 Gil Vicente FC
- 7 NovSporting Clube de Portugal 1 – 0 Moreirense FC
- 7 NovFC Alverca 1 – 1 Casa Pia AC
- 7 NovCD Nacional 1 – 0 Académico de Viseu FC
- 6 NovFC Famalicão 1 – 0 FC Arouca
- 2 NovSport Lisboa e Benfica 1 – 0 FC Alverca
- 2 NovGil Vicente FC 0 – 0 Vitória Guimarães
- 1 NovSporting Clube de Braga 3 – 0 FC Famalicão
- 1 NovCS Marítimo 0 – 2 CD Santa Clara
Our engine's accuracy in the Liga Portugal: 57% correct in 266 matches evaluated before kick-off.