Chapecoense AF vs Cruzeiro EC: prediction and probabilities

Our study

Our model gives Cruzeiro EC a 52% chance of winning against Chapecoense AF (24%), with a 24% chance of a draw. Expected goals: Chapecoense AF 1.3 – 2.0 Cruzeiro EC. Most likely scores: 1-2 (10%), 1-1 (10%), 0-1 (8%). Confidence of the study: medium.